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‘The Nostradamus Condition’ - Final Two Round Mock Draft NFL Draft 2011

‘The Nostradamus Condition’ - Part I
Two Round Mock Draft / NFL Draft

NFL Draft is Here – ‘Trust Your Eyes’

I was in Home Depot last week and was going through the electric department when a light went off about the Atlanta Falcons at the 27th overall pick. What about TE Kyle Rudolph of Notre Dame in the first round after a fine April workout? Rudolph is a first round talent who addresses a need area for the Falcons offense. Starting TE Tony Gonzalez has been a Hall of Fame performer over his amazing career, but he enters year 15 next season. He went in the first round of the 1997 NFL Draft to the Kansas City Chiefs. It is hard to believe 14 seasons have gone by since we meet at Madison Square Garden prior to the talented class for the NFL 1997. The NFL Draft was at Madison Square Garden annually before corporate Time Warner and the NFL decided to play power games over the TV networks and the draft moved to Radio City.

Photo - TE Kyle Rudolph - Notre Dame

Gonzalez was a young 20 year old gifted athlete who played more basketball than football at Cal. He was actually part of the start of an evolution of tight ends being used as vertical threats and a bigger role in the NFL passing game. Rudolph is a complete and a good fit with the Falcons who also have pressing needs on defense at end and cornerback after collapsing in the NFL playoffs. They have done extensive work on corner Ras-I Dowling who is a rising prospect this month and a kid they have on their short list. They also have done a lot of late work on DE Jabaal Sheard of Pittsburgh who may be a surprise late first round selection.

‘Trust Your Eyes’ - The endless Pro Days will finally terminate at some point this week. They have taken on an element of lunacy that only NFL draftniks could appreciate. I attended only a few Pro Days this year and most of it has become total nonsense. Over 90% of the results should confirm what you should have known months earlier. Granted, the medical and injury situations are vital to update for final rankings. Many marginal prospects benefit from the exposure, but the final rankings should not be changed to any big degree. The old athletic and scouting slogan “Trust your Eyes” applies here more than anywhere. This is not the Olympics, its evaluating football players for a specific skill set for the NFL game. My final Pro Day was at Monmouth University (N.J.) on Monday April 25th. The Eagles worked out wideout Chris Hogan in a fog similar to the Fog playoff game years ago. Hogan is a Miles Austin clone that the Eagles wanted to get a final look at the raw athlete. Hogan played only one season at Monmouth after a Lacrosse career at Penn St. He is a fine athlete and actually blew the competition away at the Fordham Pro Day a month ago. The Eagles have three #7 picks, so I expect them to use one of them on Hogan as an athlete who can help on coverage units while he develops as a receiver. Though he is similar to the Cowboy’s Miles Austin in athleticism, size and smarts, he is not as developed as a receiver and needs strong coaching on the basics of route running, reading defenses and make adjustments during the play. He will have to earn his stripes on coverage units, and at 220 lbs. and a legitimate sub 4.50 time, he has the athleticism and toughness to win a role on the coverage teams. With time to develop, he could be a major sleeper from the lower level that shocks NFL scouts.

The first round of the NFL Draft shakes out very interesting among certain clubs from a high needs standpoint. Even more intriguing is the fact that of these comparisons are among divisional rivals and also teams drafting within a few selections of one another. That may contribute to a higher number of deals on the clock with the only movement and deals involving this years or future draft picks. The Bills/ Cardinals hold the key to the top ten. Both love LB Von Miller and also need a QB. They will dictate how the QBs fall out in the first part of round one. You could certainly include the 49ers in that mix with both QB and attack LB high on their need list. They could get closed out of both Cam Newton and Blaine Gabbert at #7. The 3rd QB to come off the board will probably set off a run of passers that includes, Jake Locker, Ryan Mallett, Christian Ponder, Colin Kaepernick and Andy Dalton that may not get beyond the top 40 overall picks. The Redskins are nervous sitting at the 10th overall spot and they could be beyond the top three passers with other clubs like the Titans also looking to add a starting QB. There are several divisional rivals, the Ravens/Steelers, Bears/ Packers, Bucs/Saints/Falcons and Giants/Eagles who all have very similar needs and all drafting with 6 picks in round one. It should be interesting.

Draft Insiders' Yearbook 2011 - Over 350 Scouting Reports - Order Today / NFL Team Report - Complete Breakdown of Every Club - Needs Per Position / NFL Update Report - Final Mock Draft, Rising & Falling, Top 300 Pro Prospects, The Dirty Dozen - Top 12 Small College Prospects, Hindu Theory Players

‘Final NFL Mock Draft - Two Rounds
Update Report 2011 has a Complete Seven Round Mock Draft

Selection Order x - compensatory pick * underclassmen - April 28-30, 2011

First Round
1. Carolina - * Blaine Gabbert - QB - Missouri
Alternate Pick: * Patrick Peterson - CB - LSU

2. Denver - * Marcell Dareus - DE - Alabama
Alternate Pick: * Patrick Peterson - CB - LSU

3. Buffalo - Von Miller - LB - Texas A&M
Alternate Pick: * Blaine Gabbert - QB - Missouri

4. Cincinnati - * A.J. Green - WR -Georgia
Alternate Pick: * Cam Newton - QB - Auburn

5. Arizona - * Cam Newton - QB - Auburn
Alternate Pick: Von Miller - LB - Texas A&M

6. Cleveland - * Julio Jones - WR - Alabama
Alternate Pick: * Patrick Peterson - CB - LSU

7. San Francisco - * Patrick Peterson - CB - LSU
Alternate Pick: * Cam Newton - QB - Auburn

8. Tennessee - Prince Amukamara - CB - Nebraska
Alternate Pick: * Julio Jones - WR - Alabama

9. Dallas - * Nick Fairley - DL - Auburn
Alternate Pick: Prince Amukamara - CB - Nebraska

10. Washington - * Aldon Smith - DE/LB - Missouri
Alternate Pick: * Cam Newton - QB - Auburn

11. Houston - Cameron Jordan - DE - California
Alternate Pick: * Aldon Smith - LB – Missouri

12. Minnesota - * Da'Quan Bowers - DE - Clemson
Alternate Pick: * Cam Newton - QB - Auburn

13. Detroit - * Robert Quinn - DE - North Carolina
Alternate Pick: * Tyron Smith - OT - Southern Cal

14 St. Louis - Ryan Kerrigan - DE - Purdue
Alternate Pick: * Aldon Smith - DE/LB - Missouri

15. Miami - * J.J. Watt - DE - Wisconsin
Alternate Pick: Jake Locker - QB - Washington

16 Jacksonville - Jake Locker - QB - Washington
Alternate Pick: Ryan Kerrigan - DE - Purdue

17. New England (Oakland) - Mike Pouncey - OC - Florida
Alternate Pick: Anthony Castonzo - OT - Boston College

18. San Diego - * Muhammad Wilkerson - DT - Temple
Alternate Pick: * Justin Houston - LB - Georgia

19. New York Giants - * Corey Liuget - DT- Illinois
Alternate Pick: Anthony Castonzo - OT - Boston College

20. Tampa Bay - * Tyron Smith - OT - Southern Cal
Alternate Pick: Jimmy Smith - CB - Colorado

21. Kansas City - * Justin Houston - LB - Georgia
Alternate Pick: * Akeem Ayers - LB - UCLA

22. Indianapolis - Anthony Castonzo - OT - Boston College
Alternate Pick: Nate Solder - OT - Colorado

23. Philadelphia - Jimmy Smith - CB - Colorado
Alternate Pick: * Marvin Austin - DT - North Carolina

24. New Orleans - * Marvin Austin - DT - North Carolina
Alternate Pick: Cameron Heyward - DE - Ohio St

25. Seattle - Adrian Clayborn - DE - Iowa
Alternate Pick: Cameron Heyward - DL - Ohio St

26. Baltimore - * Akeem Ayers - LB - UCLA
Alternate Pick: Titus Young - WR - Boise St

27. Atlanta - * Kyle Rudolph - TE - Notre Dame
Alternate Pick: Ras-I Dowling - CB - Virginia

28. New England - Brooks Reed - LB - Arizona
Alternate Pick: * Akeem Ayers - LB - UCLA

29. Chicago - Nate Solder - OT - Colorado
Alternate Pick: Derek Sherrod - OT - Mississippi St

30. New York Jets - Ras-I Dowling - CB - Virginia
Alternate Pick: Brooks Reed - LB - Arizona

31. Pittsburgh - Gabe Carimi - OT - Wisconsin
Alternate Pick: Ras-I Dowling - CB - Virginia

32. Green Bay - Cameron Heyward - DE - Ohio St
Alternate Pick: * Martez Wilson - LB - Illinois

‘Second Round
33 New Eng (Carolina) - * Martez Wilson - LB - Illinois
34 Buffalo - Colin Kaepernick - QB - Nevada
35 Cincinnati - Christian Ponder - QB - Florida St
36 Denver - * Ryan Mallett - QB - Arkansas
37 Cleveland - Jabaal Sheard - DE - Pittsburgh
38 Arizona - Dontay Moch - LB - Nevada
39 Tennessee - Titus Young - WR - Boise St
40 Dallas - Derek Sherrod - OT - Mississippi St
41 Washington Andy Dalton - QB - Texas Christian
42 Houston - * Aaron Williams - CB - Texas
43 Minnesota - * Rahim Moore - S - UCLA
44 Detroit - Marcus Gilbert - OT - Florida
45 San Fran - * Mark Ingram - RB - Alabama
46 Denver (Miami) Johnny Patrick - CB - Louisville
47 St. Louis - * Torrey Smith - WR - Maryland
48 Oakland - Stephen Paea - DT - Oregon St
49 Jacksonville - Allen Bailey - DE - Miami (Fl)
50 San Diego - Phil Taylor - DT - Baylor
51 Tampa Bay - * Brandon Burton - CB - Utah
52 N.Y. Giants - * Randall Cobb - WR - Kentucky
53 Indianapolis - Dan Watkins - OL - Baylor
54 Philadelphia - Sam Acho - LB - Texas
55 Kansas City - Marcus Cannon - OT - TCU
56 New Orleans - * Mikel Leshoure - RB - Illinois
57 Seattle - * Greg Little - WR - North Carolina
58 Baltimore - Jerrel Jernigan - WR/RS - Troy
59 Atlanta - * Brandon Harris - CB - Miami
60 New England - * Ryan Williams - RB - Virginia Tech
61 San Diego (Jets) - Leonard Hankerson - WR - Miami
62 Chicago - Stefen Wisniewski - OL - Penn St
63 Pittsburgh - Benjamin Ijalana - OT - Villanova (Pa.)
64 Green Bay - * Jon Baldwin - WR - Pittsburgh

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